Hurricane Ida

[Chip Haynes]

Now Ida looks forecast to turn to the east ion the central Gulf of Mexico- so we might get a bit of a wet rinse and blow dry next week.

Oh, bother.

[Lord Black Eyes]

130 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2009

...IDA REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STATUS...

Source http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

[Lord Black Eyes]

Latest 5-day forecast map is out for those awake right now. http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/stormspotlight.php?year=2009&storm=11

4 AM EST, 45 MPH, 1002 MB

[feelingweird]

any contrarians think this could blow up into something bigger?

Looking at the track and its a very troublesome track as its baring down at New Orlean's again.

Weather channel says that by tues it will still only be a tropical storm... I assume the waters are too cold to produce anything stronger?

Robert

[Megadoom]

any contrarians think this could blow up into something bigger?

Looking at the track and its a very troublesome track as its baring down at New Orlean's again.

Weather channel says that by tues it will still only be a tropical storm... I assume the waters are too cold to produce anything stronger?

Robert

I just looked at the Gulf sea surface temps and they're in the 80's for the most part until you get close to the shore so there's enough out there to maintain this as a tropical storm (potentially), but as far as New Orleans is concerned if this stays on the middle track we'll be OK (if it does that curly cue loop to the East on the 5 day). However, I'm located in a vulnerable region (post - Katrina) that floods whenever there is a SE wind flow that drives the water up into the Rigolets and Pearl river basins. This storm has the potential to do that.

If it were to strike NO or the LA coastline it would be first storm EVER to do so in November.

[Lord Black Eyes]

any contrarians think this could blow up into something bigger?

Looking at the track and its a very troublesome track as its baring down at New Orlean's again.

Weather channel says that by tues it will still only be a tropical storm... I assume the waters are too cold to produce anything stronger?

Robert

Something bigger? Sure! In fact, there's a chance Ida could combine with a couple other incomings in the Gulf of Mexico into something extra special.

Aside from that, I'm expecting Ida to return to hurricane force pretty soon.

[Lord Black Eyes]

10 AM EST, 60 MPH, 997 MB, moving N at 9 MPH

the maps, satellite, etc. http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/stormspotlight.php?year=2009&storm=11

[Lord Black Eyes]

1115 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2009

 IDA HAS ONCE AGAIN REACHED HURRICANE STATUS...
WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND 75 MPH...120 KM/HR. 

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY
APPROACHING IDA

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

[Lord Black Eyes]

90 MPH, moving NNW at 12 MPH, 980 MB

maps, satellite, etc. http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/stormspotlight.php?year=2009&storm=11

[Lord Black Eyes]

Category One Hurricane:     Sustained winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt or 119-153 km/hr)
Two: Sustained winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt or 154-177 km/hr)
Three:     Sustained winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt or 178-209 km/hr)
Four:     Sustained winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt or 210-249 km/hr)
Five:     Sustained winds greater than 155 mph (135 kt or 249 km/hr)

[Bruce]

 Let's no forget what this could do to the oil rigs in the gulf. It could miss land all together yet play hell with the oil thus making us all feel the pain..................Bruce

[Lord Black Eyes]

The latest model run of the model "ECMWF", puts the storm making landfall in New Orleans.
Latest run of the GFDL puts it glancing off of Venice, LA, (79 miles SE of N.O.) and veering into the FL/AL border, as a major hurricane, of 115kts.

[Lord Black Eyes]

[Megadoom]

The latest model run of the model "ECMWF", puts the storm making landfall in New Orleans.
Latest run of the GFDL puts it glancing off of Venice, LA, (79 miles SE of N.O.) and veering into the FL/AL border, as a major hurricane, of 115kts.

If that happens my house will flood (post Katrina erosion and wetland loss). I'll be posting video if it should come close or make landfall.

Pearlington, MS

[gnosis]

It appears to be a category two hurricane once more, and heading north towards New Orleans, Mobile, Pensacola, and so on....

http://www.stormpulse.com/