Hurricane Ida

[Megadoom]

Good news! It looks like Pearlington will see winds out of the NE for most of this, and we're not expecting surges coming up the Pearl river, but for my regional neighbors towards St. Bernard it might turn out differently. I'm encouraged that Ida is weakening as expected and the path isn't significantly closer, but I'm sure we'll see some winds and rain this afternoon. The radar moving in looks to confirm that.

Also, the local media has finally come to life and there is 24 hr live coverage on WDSU with reporters position from New Orleans to Pensacola. Guess they read a few blogs and figured they better start talking about it. Like I said before, I'm not an alarmist when it comes to tropical systems but I'm not one to take them for granted either.

Might take a ride towards Mobile for some storm chasing video. 

[Lord Black Eyes]

[wiccawench]

a picture says a thousand words.

thanks Lord Black Eyes.

[ellen45]

This link seems to show it making landfall just east of Gulfport, MS.  Hope my brother doesn't lose another boat - he lost one to Katrina and his new one is moored a little ways inland on the Pascagoula river.   

http://www.stormpulse.com/

[Lord Black Eyes]

9 AM CST
Max sustained: 70 mph Tropical Storm
Moving: NNW at 17 mph
Min pressure: 996 mb
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

From the Forecast Discussion
THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE CENTER OF IDA IS LOSING SIGNIFICANCE IN
TERMS OF THE EFFECTS OF THIS STORM.  STRONG WINDS COVER A LARGE
AREA OF THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE ASSOCIATED RAINS ARE MOVING WELL
AHEAD OF THE CENTER.

From the Public Advisory
A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE
EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.


maps, satellite http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/stormspotlight.php?year=2009&storm=11

[wiccawench]

and of course people focussing on wind speed is going to let a lot of people think it might not impact them......when the rain and surge is going to be of most significance.

be safe.

[Megadoom]

This link seems to show it making landfall just east of Gulfport, MS.  Hope my brother doesn't lose another boat - he lost one to Katrina and his new one is moored a little ways inland on the Pascagoula river.   

http://www.stormpulse.com/

Yes, that's the bad news - the path has shifted significantly to the West, but the good news is it has weakened to a tropical storm. The rain bands from Ida are getting closer on radar, but Dan Milham has just said that the storms are weakening in these bands to some extent. Ida is now expected to pass within 40 miles of SW pass, if you didn't know that's where the Mississippi river dumps out into the Gulf of Mexico, and the residents of Plaquemines are expecting some flooding. Ida is tearing apart as it becomes extratropical and being sheared from the approaching cold front. This causes a decoupling at various levels within in the storm where the center of circulation may be drifiting towards the NW but the convective weather is shooting off to the NE. Residents in Mobile and Pensacola will see the worst of this....I think. It's all very academic and interesting for a weather buff, but the good news is this storm will not likely cause any significant damage. I think that's next year.  

+1 to Bob Breck, oddly he got the intensity correct but his projected path is way off. LOL. Go figure.  

[theozarker]

Well, to all of you down there, just keep safe.  Glad to hear it's breaking up some and weakening.

Linda

[Megadoom]

Water is surging into Pearlington with Ida now less than 30 miles off the LA coast (SW pass), this is video I took earlier today at noon, and I'll upload some others from 330pm showing a 1/2 foot rise, but in the last hour its really moving in.

<a href="http://www.youtube.com/v/vUcQKg8bbjs&amp;ap=%2526fmt%3D18&amp;rel=0" target="_blank">http://www.youtube.com/v/vUcQKg8bbjs&amp;ap=%2526fmt%3D18&amp;rel=0</a>

I still don't expect flooding at my house, but I'm watchin it.