Hurricane Ida

[Chip Haynes]

Hurricane Season does not offically end until the last day in November, but we can get these storms any time of year. We've got one right now- Hurricane Ida- and it appears to be making a bee line for the Louisiana Gulf Coast.

Sure hope New Orleans is paying attention.

[wordnerd]

Thanks Chip
I have stopped watched hurrincanes this season
Looks like I stopped too early - lol

[roccman]

bowl'n for dolla's !!

[Chip Haynes]

Here's the spaghetti plot:

http://www.baynews9.com/Klystron9.html?image=spaghetti

New Orleans. Next weekend. Don't be there.

[Megadoom]

Way too soon to call it. Ida might fall apart long before then, or head off to Florida once in the Gulf.

Don't peg us yet.

[gnosis]

Wow, thanks for bringing this to our attention.

I use StormPulse to get the best visuals:  http://www.stormpulse.com/

It could very well fall apart before it hits New Orleans.

[Chip Haynes]

We'll be making an extra run to the grocery store this weekend, just to avoid any crowds next week, should this thing turn east in the Gulf. Other than that, there's not much we can do. We have plywood shutters for all of the windows and doors, but since I do work for the local county government, I am required to stay here and be a part of the emergency team.

We are SO watching this storm.

[gnosis]

Looks like it will be either a threat, or a no-big-deal item, but Wednesday of next week.  Prepping this weekend looks to be smart.

[Chip Haynes]

Yeah, I'd like to see a map of the high pressure systems over the north central US, Canada and the North Atlantic. Those will tell you where this will go.

[Lord Black Eyes]

Assuming of course that Ida can hold it together after passing over land

from the 10 PM EST  discussion http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/060241.shtml

THE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A GENERAL NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT 4 DAYS.
AROUND THE END OF THE PERIOD...MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE SHOWS A
TURN TO THE RIGHT AS IDA BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE WESTERLIES.


tracking maps http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/stormspotlight.php?year=2009&storm=11

[DJSNOLA]

This is a nothing burger for us here in New Orleans. rain at the most. the waters have cooled in the Gulf by now and the atmosphere is less conducive. Sure it could be a rainmaker, but nothing we cant handle.

[Lord Black Eyes]

from Dr. Jeff Masters' Wunder Blog http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

of the five storms to follow a path similar to Ida's projected path, four survived to re-intensify over the Western Caribbean.

[Lord Black Eyes]

Yeah, I'd like to see a map of the high pressure systems over the north central US, Canada and the North Atlantic. Those will tell you where this will go.

Like this? http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2009110606-ida11l&field=Sea%20Level%20Pressure&hour=Animation
Click on FWD

Or try playing here? http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models/00znogaps.html

[Lord Black Eyes]

Just for fun. Hurricane Gordon. November 9-21, 1994. http://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Gordon_%281994%29
Hurricane Gordon was a very deadly and damaging tropical storm for the Caribbean, Florida and parts of North Carolina. The storm was very slow moving on its path over the Caribbean. This storm killed over 1100 people (estimates range between 500-2300 people dead through Haiti and the central Caribbean islands, including Jamaica and Cuba). The storm's strange motion was making Hurricane Gordon hard to forecast where it would actually go and where it would reach land. Hurricane Gordon was the last storm of the inactive 1994 Season it was also the costliest of the 1994 season. Hurricane Gordon was a hurricane for only a few hours.

[Lord Black Eyes]

Bad forecast alibi 
http://orcasystems.ca/busted.htm