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| | |-+  Do you expect to survivel PO?
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Author Topic: Do you expect to survivel PO?  (Read 4640 times)
MEA
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« on: October 27, 2009, 04:16:05 PM »

I suppose that at some level we all expect to have a tiny, tiny chance, otherwise, would we be here?

I give myself a 50/50 change of being here in 10 years, if it's a slow crash.


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Bill Hicks
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2009, 04:24:00 PM »

I'm on record as saying that the Peak Oil transistion is going to take approximately a generation -- taking us to around 2027 from the time the crisis started in 2007.  By that time, I will be just transitioning from middle age to senior citizenhood.  I expect that the effects of Peak Oil are going to greatly shorten my lifespan, possibly through a cataclysmic event, but more likely because the kind of health care seniors need to live into a ripe old age will no longer be available to anyone but the suprerich in their heavily fortified enclaves.
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DarthBruder
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2009, 04:24:37 PM »

I'm on record as saying that the Peak Oil transistion is going to take approximately a generation -- taking us to around 2027 from the time the crisis started in 2007.  By that time, I will be just transitioning from middle age to senior citizenhood.  I expect that the effects of Peak Oil are going to greatly shorten my lifespan, possibly through a cataclysmic event, but more likely because the kind of health care seniors need to live into a ripe old age will no longer be available to anyone but the suprerich in their heavily fortified enclaves.

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spacecase0
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2009, 04:35:20 PM »

I think that I will be just fine,
there are lots of ways to live through it,
I have lots of skills and am mostly set to go,
also I would like to have and raise kids,
and I am sure that I can teach them to thrive as well.
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residualheat
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2009, 04:36:07 PM »

If the shtf big time then I suppose I'll stay alive as long as I stay well and am useful to have around.

Do you think it might be possible that the youth will keep some of us alive for what we know or can do, or will they just shoot us and take our preps?
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gnosis
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2009, 04:49:43 PM »

Well, with regards to how much time we have, I usually listen to my favorite scientist (James Lovelock) and a select few oil people such as Ali Samsam Bakhtiari.

Ali Samsam Bakhtiari and peak oil
http://www.energybulletin.net/node/29162
Bakhtiari now sees the world entering a phase of irreversible decline in daily oil output, moving down from the current 82mb/d toward daily oil extraction of only 55 mb/d by the year 2020.


James Lovelock: 'Enjoy life while you can'
http://www.guardian.co.uk/theguardian/2008/mar/01/scienceofclimatechange.climatechange/print
What would Lovelock do now, I ask, if he were me? He smiles and says: "Enjoy life while you can. Because if you're lucky it's going to be 20 years before it hits the fan."



So, it seems that within 20 years (please make sure you focus on the word "within"), we'll be in some serious trouble. Either from Peak Oil, climate change, or both.


As for whether I'll survive or not, I think my answer would be the same as everyone else's here:  I will survive it.
No one here would like to think that they wouldn't, and with all of our preps backing up that idea, it's even more probable that we *think* we will survive "it".

But, I know it will be a bumpy ride and I may not make it, or others around me won't.  A few billion people on this planet will cease to be around, and I'm going try
to not be one of them, that is for sure.
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DoomandGloom
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2009, 05:05:42 PM »

"Are you going to survive tomorrow?" would be a better question:

http://www.poodwaddle.com/worldclock.swf
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Spiderman23
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2009, 05:07:44 PM »

I live in Alberta, Canada, and we have a LOT of oil in our tar sands. We're also avoid (problably) most of the effects of climate change. I have no idea how the next few decades will play out, but given this, I would say I have just slightly above a 50/50 chance of surviving. The biggest thing I'm worried about is resource wars.
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Jonathan_Byron
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2009, 05:12:38 PM »

The biggest thing I'm worried about is resource wars.

Yes, I agree with that.
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Chesyre
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2009, 05:19:08 PM »

canadians  , the other white meat Grin
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Megadoom
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2009, 05:22:33 PM »

No...I don't expect to survive, but who knows?
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quietnite
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2009, 05:50:04 PM »

Nope. Pretty sure I'll end up in someone's soup pot. I have few illusions about my own desire to survive if it truly breaks down.

I just hope they offer those nice little pills like in "On the Beach".
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SabreKai
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« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2009, 06:13:28 PM »

Nope.

The only question in my mind is whether or not I die peacefully and with some dignity or where I have to make sure of my body guard in hell. If so, I'll make it a big one.


Sabre
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SabreKai

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DoomNymph
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« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2009, 08:34:00 PM »

It's a coin toss, really.  I'm doing all that I can to see it through and I hope I make it - if only to see what's like on the other side.
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tobyjones
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« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2009, 09:09:05 PM »

No.  If it is a fast crash I expect to last a few weeks or months longer than the majority but I really don't expect to come out the other end to the recovery phase.
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